Friction forecasts

Get hours of advance notice on runway conditions

Time treatment, configurations, and reopening with forecasted runway friction

Time treatment, configurations, and reopening with forecasted runway friction

Time treatment, configurations, and reopening with forecasted runway friction

Operate ahead of surface conditions, not behind them

Forecast friction loss + recovery
Forecast friction
loss
+ recovery

When weather moves in, braking conditions change between inspections, and every call has a cost: close too early and capacity drops; try to reopen too soon and the inspection fails. Friction Forecasts help by projecting when aircraft braking performance will drop and when it will come back, in 30-minute steps out to three hours.

When weather moves in, braking conditions change between inspections, and every call has a cost: close too early and capacity drops; try to reopen too soon and the inspection fails. Friction Forecasts help by projecting when aircraft braking performance will drop and when it will come back, in 30-minute steps out to three hours.

Prepare before conditions degrade
Prepare before
conditions degrade
Prepare before conditions degrade

Keep runways open longer by seeing when braking performance will actually fall off, and when it will hold.

Keep runways open longer by seeing when braking performance will actually fall off, and when it will hold.

Treat at the right moment: plow, sweep, or pre-treat with anti-icing chemicals before friction drops.

Treat at the right moment: plow, sweep, or pre-treat with anti-icing chemicals before friction drops.

Set configurations earlier and give ATC and airlines advance notice of which runways may degrade first.

Set configurations earlier and give ATC and airlines advance notice of which runways may degrade first.

Recover as soon as friction returns
Recover as soon as friction returns

Time reopening inspections for when friction is expected to meet thresholds again, avoiding failed inspections and repeat treatments.

Time reopening inspections for when friction is expected to meet thresholds again, avoiding failed inspections and repeat treatments.

Reopen in the right order, prioritizing the runways expected to recover first to restore capacity sooner.

Reopen in the right order, prioritizing the runways expected to recover first to restore capacity sooner.

Deploy crews and equipment to match predicted recovery windows.

Deploy crews and equipment to match predicted recovery windows.

PROCESS

Prediction.
Delivery.
Review.

01: Prediction

ABARnet™ combines ABAR history, runway context, historical weather reports, and weather forecasts covering precipitation, temperature, dewpoint, wind, solar radiation, and cloud cover to predict braking performance as it degrades and as it recovers, 30-180 minutes out.

ABARnet™ combines ABAR history, runway context, historical weather reports, and weather forecasts covering precipitation, temperature, dewpoint, wind, solar radiation, and cloud cover to predict braking performance as it degrades and as it recovers, 30-180 minutes out.

02: Delivery

Each runway gets its own forecast, delivered as notifications or through APIs, MQTT, or a dashboard — so teams can prepare early while ABARs and inspections confirm conditions when it's time to act.

Each runway gets its own forecast, delivered as notifications or through APIs, MQTT, or a dashboard — so teams can prepare early while ABARs and inspections confirm conditions when it's time to act.

03: Review

After each event, AST compares the forecast with what landing aircraft actually measured, so airports can see how each treatment performed and refine the next response, while 360° Runway Analytics shows where along each runway to focus.

After each event, AST compares the forecast with what landing aircraft actually measured, so airports can see how each treatment performed and refine the next response, while 360° Runway Analytics shows where along each runway to focus.

Friction forecasts that fit how your airfield works

One shared forecast

One shared forecast

Airports, airlines, ATC, and pilots work from the same forecast for each runway, so everyone plans around the same expected conditions.

Built-in confidence

Built-in confidence

Every forecast includes friction-limit risk, minimum, expected, and maximum Mu, and a confidence level, so crews can see how firm a prediction is before committing people and chemicals.

Works with your sensors

Works with your sensors

Forecasts can ingest data from your pavement sensors where available, adding aircraft-measured braking performance to what your surface sensors already report.

*

All figures are as of September 2026. AST's ABARnet™ reporting network is self-learning, getting smarter with every new report.

30-180min

forecast windows available as desired

140+

airports where forecasts are available

airports where forecasts
are available

2400+

reporting aircraft, with more on the way

reporting aircraft,
with more on the way

26M+

recorded ABARs informing forecasts

recorded ABARs
informing forecasts

“Friction forecasting lets us manage our runways more proactively. The software identifies where on the runway braking action may deteriorate in the future, so maintenance teams can take corrective measures in advance."

Vice President

for a large U.S. airport

“Friction forecasting lets us manage our runways more proactively. The software identifies where on the runway braking action may deteriorate in the future, so maintenance teams can take corrective measures in advance."

Vice President

for a large U.S. airport

“Friction forecasting lets us manage our runways more proactively. The software identifies where on the runway braking action may deteriorate in the future, so maintenance teams can take corrective measures in advance."

Vice President

for a large U.S. airport

ABARnet™

Improve runway maintenance and uptime

ABARs: Use approved data directly from aircraft

Friction Forecasts: Anticipate runway closures with AI

360° Runway Analytics: Read every 100-ft section

Available for any aircraft type - Boeing, Airbus, etc.

Achieves a level of accuracy that others do not

let's CONNECT

Get on board with precise reports

ABARnet™

Improve runway maintenance and uptime

ABARs: Use approved data directly from aircraft

Friction Forecasts: Anticipate runway closures with AI

360° Runway Analytics: Read every 100-ft section

Available for any aircraft type - Boeing, Airbus, etc.

Achieves a level of accuracy that others do not

let's CONNECT

Get on board with precise reports

ABARnet™

Improve runway maintenance and uptime

ABARs: Use approved data directly from aircraft

Friction Forecasts: Anticipate runway closures with AI

360° Runway Analytics: Read every 100-ft section

Available for any aircraft type - Boeing, Airbus, etc.

Achieves a level of accuracy that others do not

let's CONNECT

Get on board with precise reports